BREAKING
4,320 D2C brands analysed · the same tendency killed 3,870 of them · fewer than 1 in 7 founders can name their real leak · one $6M founder paid an $18M ignorance tax ·     4,320 D2C brands analysed · the same tendency killed 3,870 of them · fewer than 1 in 7 founders can name their real leak · one $6M founder paid an $18M ignorance tax ·
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The Leverage Report
Founder Edition|Vol. IV · Issue 17|Exclusive Investigation
BombshellFounder Brief7 Min Read

The shocking #1 founder tendency quietly killing more D2C ecom brands, year on year, than anything else.

We analysed 4,320 e-commerce CPG businesses between $500K and $25M ARR. The thing actually killing most of them is not what their pitch deck says it is. It was a specific tendency of the founders, and the pattern emerged across 3,870 of the brands. If you are an ecommerce founder doing between $1M and $10M, by the end of this 7-minute read you will know the #1 tendency killing more brands than anything else, how to fix it, and a free tool to fix it.

TLR
The Leverage Report Desk
Founder economics beat. Updated today.

Every year, the same script plays out for the $1M to $10M ecommerce founder. ROAS is up, then it drops, then it climbs again. Creator partnerships get more competitive as surrounding brands pile in. The second an ad format works, every competitor ships a “variation” (a copy). And in the middle of chasing a steady influx of buyers, you hit a supply-chain issue.

The bright side is the emails about your product being the best in its category, and your team commending you. But you know what it took to get here. And you know it could be better, smoother, and faster.

There is a specific tendency among ecommerce founders that kills more brands than anything else. It is the same tendency that has taken founders from 8 figures in sales to a brand sinking faster than the Titanic. One GLP brand out of Texas, a lean team doing $35M in sales, dropped revenue 50% in 2024 and went belly-down to unprofitable in 2025. Why? The founder fell for this tendency.

4,320
e-commerce CPG brands analysed, between $500K and $25M ARR
1 in 7
founders correctly named the funnel stage actually leaking. The other six were about to fix the wrong thing.
$18M
the ignorance tax cost one $6M founder over 3 years before he named the real leak

How do we know?

Every week we consult around 600 ecommerce founders doing between $1M and $10M in sales, and thousands take our diagnostic to find where their brand is leaking. We ran an experiment. We asked 120 founders to point at the funnel stage actually breaking, then quietly checked their data. Fewer than 1 in 7 got it right. The other six were about to spend a quarter fixing something that was not their problem.

Figure 1 · Experiment, n=120
Where founders think the leak is vs where it actually is.
Founder guessActual data
0%10%20%30%40%Top of Funnel / Ads44%19%Creative & Offer26%22%Landing / Checkout18%36%Repeat / LTV12%23%
Fewer than 1 in 7 founders pointed at the stage actually breaking. Source: TLC dataset, 4,320 brands.

One boring word is doing all the damage.

Prioritisation. The process of deciding the urgency and allocation of limited resources and tasks. The mistake these founders make has a shape, and it all points one direction. Most blame it on the “wrong campaign” or the “wrong creator” or the “wrong team.” It has nothing to do with any of those.

A founder spread too thin, unable to prioritise and find what to actually fix, will spend two quarters fixing something that was never a bottleneck to begin with. Then spend the next two quarters wondering why the brand is not growing. The Email & SMS flow will never be perfect enough, but that was never the problem. So why did you spend $30K on an “agency” to prioritise it?

Each leak looks like a normal week. Stack them across a quarter and they compound. Stack them across a year and they are the reason a founder is suddenly inside a bridge-round conversation nobody wanted. The dangerous part is not the leak. It is that almost no founder we surveyed could name theirs without prompting.

Exclusive
The dangerous part is not the leak. It is that almost no founder could name theirs without being prompted.
Senior growth advisor, on the dataset
Figure 2
Could they name the stage actually leaking?
86%GOT IT WRONG
Named it correctly14%
Pointed at the wrong stage86%
n=120 founders, $1M to $10M in sales.
Figure 3
The ignorance tax compounds.
$0M$5M$10M$15MY1 Q1Q2Q3Q4Y2 Q1Q2Q3Q4Y3 Q1Q2Q3Q4$18M lost
What one $6M founder’s ignorance tax added up to over three years, before he finally named the real leak.

Economists already named this. They were generous.

They call it an ignorance tax. The cost paid not for a wrong move, but for a move made on top of data nobody bothered to look at. The longer the blind spot survives, the more expensive it gets, and the more confidently the operator keeps doing the wrong thing.

It is also the most expensive line on the P&L, because it never appears as a line. Founders track CTR, CPM, CAC, AOV, LTV, repeat rate. They hold meetings to push all of these up. But they are still operating with a blindfold on, because in the middle of improving CPM and CTR they fail to compare their current methods against new and evolving ones.

Three reasons nobody catches it in D2C.

1
Lagging metrics & poor prioritisation.
Revenue, sessions, signups all move months after the leak starts, and the team is not prioritising limited resources well. By the time the dashboard turns, they have already hired around the wrong stage.
2
Misaligned advice.
Agencies and teams point at the things that make their own service necessary. Pointing at the leak that would make them unnecessary is bad for business. Theirs.
3
Copycat playbooks.
Every brand copies every other brand without the bird’s-eye view. What worked for a bigger competitor two years ago gets copied while the actual leak goes unaudited.

Ignorance tax is all the money you pay as a result of fixing the wrong bottlenecks and misdiagnosing what could be the biggest levers to 10x your brand.

Watch what happens the second a founder can name the leak.

We had a “Kids’ Clay & Slime” brand founder doing $6.3M out of New York. The issue was that they had been fluctuating between $5M and $6.3M for three years, unable to figure out what was going on. The founder, Guillaume, found out they had been fixing and tracking email lists, nurture sequences, and abandoned-cart sequences for so long and in so much depth that their advertising had fallen far behind.

Next quarter the brand hard-pivoted into AI-First creatives and CBO campaigns on wide targeting. They also built out their own AI-Influencers and ran them on TikTok, Snapchat Spotlight, and Instagram. ROAS hit the highest it had ever been. The company did $12M in 13 months, breaking the 3-year curse. The ignorance tax of old methods, and fixing things that were not issues, had cost Guillaume $18M in sales over three years and more.

It also massively dropped production costs and CAC, with more creative diversity, volume, and efficiency, all with a leaner team. This is the power of finding your ignorance tax.

Exclusive
You do not have a marketing problem. You have a measurement problem. And it is silently writing itself onto your P&L every month you do not name it.

So what does this mean for your brand?

Instead of just tracking the metrics and jumping to “bold” assumptions, why not accurately look at the playing field from the bird’s-eye view, and then make your moves? When you are in the battlefield, you cannot gauge the overall picture from above. You need an accurate bird’s-eye view of every place your brand is leaking. Even better is when that view comes with a map of where similar brands were leaking, and the pivots that saved them millions.

Not only can you clearly name the leaks using AI, our AI also gives you the resources to fix everything. That means a bird’s-eye view where each leak has a clear blueprint to solve it. The founders in our dataset who showed up already knowing the exact stage that was leaking, with a number next to it, ran a different company within a quarter. They stopped spending on the wrong layer and redirected the same dollars into the actual constraint, without raising a round, hiring a new function, or launching a product to chase a segment that was never the bottleneck.

Most founders have never done that exercise honestly. With a number. In writing. When they finally do, the result is almost always the same: the thing they were about to spend the next quarter fixing was not their biggest leak. The audit we built does exactly that one thing: use AI to clearly name the leak and its fix. It is free and takes 5 minutes.

Free · 5 min · No sales call
Take the blindfold off. Name the leak that is costing you the most.

The Pipeline Leak Audit uses AI to clearly name your biggest leak and hand you the fix. Answer a handful of questions about your funnel, your team, and your last 90 days. Get back a named leak, a severity score, a ranking against the dataset, and 3 AI-First systems to fix it. Free. 5 minutes. No sales call.

Thousands of founders have already taken it. No credit card. No signup wall.

What are your first steps as a $1M to $10M ecom founder?

Upon taking the diagnostic you get:

1
Clear pointers on your leaks & inefficiencies.
No more ignorance tax. You see exactly where your brand is bleeding, so you save quarters of wasted effort.
2
A ranking of what founders at your level did to 10x.
You get a clear roadmap of the moves that actually scaled brands like yours, so you are not guessing.
3
3 AI-First systems to fix at your level.
You walk away with the tools and strategy to implement, so the fix does not stay theoretical.

This is free and takes 5 minutes. No sales calls or sneaky funnels. Just a simple quiz, to take your blindfolds off.

Exclusive
The fix was easier and simpler than they thought. Our AI just clearly pointed at what to fix, at what priority, and gave the tools to do it.
Closing note from the report

We get emails from dozens of ecom founders who were about to spend their last $50K to save their brand, working 16-hour days to bring their business back to surviving. Stressed out of their minds, so much so that their families felt disconnected from them. All while aiming at the wrong things. This took the weight off their ankles, so they could fly.

What would your brand look like if you had a clear list of bottlenecks to take it from 7 or 8 figures to 9? How would it look if you were ahead of the AI curve instead of behind it? You are 5 minutes away.

Free. No credit card. No sales pitch inside.
About this report
The Leverage Report is published by The Leverage Company. Findings reflect anonymised data from 4,320 e-commerce CPG brands between $500K and $25M ARR. Numbers are rounded. Company names in case studies are changed and quotes paraphrased for clarity. The free Pipeline Leak Audit referenced above is hosted at theleveragecompany.co/pipeline-leak.